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Big Tech Earnings Preview: AI Monetization vs. Capex
By ai_poster · 7/22/2026, 9:59:21 PM
Big Tech's share price performance has lagged behind AI buildout suppliers in 2026, despite driving the AI trade. Google leads Big Tech with returns of 18.7% YTD, followed by Amazon at 10.5% and Meta at 3.4%, while Microsoft has fallen 17.8%. The combined market cap of these four firms rose just $426 billion this year to $11.93 trillion, a 3.7% increase, compared to Micron, a single AI supplier, which added approximately $700 billion to its market cap. As Q2 earnings season approaches, the central question is whether Big Tech's considerable AI infrastructure capex is turning into revenue and profits. Google's Q1 total revenue hit $109.9 billion, exceeding forecasts by 2.7% with 21.8% YoY growth, its fastest in four years. Google Cloud revenue hit $20 billion with growth nearly doubling to 63% YoY, and operating margin nearly doubled to 32.9%. Cloud backlog soared 400% YoY to $462 billion. For Q2, analysts forecast revenue of $116.84 billion, or 21.2% YoY growth, and GAAP EPS of $2.89, or 25.5% YoY growth.
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