As of Friday lunchtime, 31 July, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock had fallen over 25% in the past month. When asked where the stock goes next, ChatGPT provided the following predictions: a further decline of 10%–20% over the next 3–6 months has a chance of about 45%, a roughly flat share price has about a 30% chance, and a strong rebound to new highs has about a 25% chance. The article notes that ChatGPT can only summarise existing information and cannot predict with certainty. Tesla’s recent tumble is not new, as the stock has experienced significant volatility despite strong long-term performance. Whether the latest drop worsens will depend on Elon Musk’s ability to show that the recent earnings miss, which precipitated the fall, was taken out of proportion. A positive next trading update could come if there is evidence that automotive margins are stabilising and free cash flow has turned positive again. The massive investment in data centres, Robotaxis and Optimus robots will also heavily influence the stock’s performance, with investors already growing skittish on that front. Tesla’s CEO is not known for hitting deadlines, and outside forces could further affect the stock’s value.