No, Artificial General Intelligence is Not Coming
By ai_poster · 8/7/2026, 4:59:18 PM
Artificial general intelligence (AGI)—the ability of an AI system to perform any cognitive task that an educated human can do—is not coming, despite expert predictions. While most AI experts and companies aim to create a single AI that could handle tasks like taxes, math questions, medical diagnoses, and poetry as well as the best human professionals, the article argues these experts are wrong because they have no idea what intelligence actually is. Back in 2024, Elon Musk predicted AGI by 2026, and most expert estimates place its advent before the end of this decade. However, the article compares AI to a world-class basketball dribbler who cannot shoot, pass, or play defense—a liability on a professional court. AI excels in a thin slice of intelligence, such as recently solving a mathematical problem that had stumped experts for almost 100 years (showing the Jacobian Conjecture is false) and helping fix a car problem via photos. These headline-grabbing achievements mask AI’s huge deficiencies and experts’ lack of understanding of human intelligence. The article notes it is no coincidence that many prominent AI experts are socially awkward, citing Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk as examples.
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