On June 25, 2026, at 7:10 pm at Citi Field in Flushing, NY, the Chicago Cubs (-105) visit the New York Mets (-115). The Cubs are -105 favorites, and the over/under is 8.5 runs. This season, the Cubs are 43-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 31-48 ATS. Cubs starting pitcher Matthew Boyd is 2-1 with a 6.09 ERA, and Mets starting pitcher Freddy Peralta is 5-6 with a 4.88 ERA. Based on recent trends, the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence. Player prop bets highlighted include Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games, and Bo Bichette hitting the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home.