Anthropic Hires Economist Who Says 33 Percent Chance of Human Extinct…
By ai_poster · 7/1/2026, 2:44:33 PM
Anthropic has hired Stanford economics professor Chad Jones, who previously wrote a paper calculating an acceptable risk level of human extinction from AI in exchange for economic growth. Jones wrote that "with log utility it is optimal to take a 1 in 3 chance of ending human existence in exchange for a 2/3 chance of dramatically raising living standards by a factor of 55," based on a "flow probability of existential risk of 1 percent per year for 40 years" resulting in a survival probability of "exp (−.01 × 40) ≈ 0.67." The article notes that Anthropic publicly stresses about AI's potential consequences, which the company uses to maintain a moral high ground over competitors, though its Claude AI has been used to select strike targets in Iran despite a public spat with the Pentagon over safe deployment.
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