Kalshi Longshot Picks: Where Our AI Panel Sees 3x The Market, updated August 10, 2026, highlights seven low-priced Kalshi markets where a price-blind AI panel's estimates exceed market prices. Six are consensus calls priced at roughly triple the market: Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate race (11¢ vs a 32.1% blend), Pete Buttigieg for the 2028 Democratic nomination (5.4¢ vs 15.8%), Parker Messick for AL Rookie of the Year (5¢ vs 14.6%), Nolan McLean for NL Rookie of the Year (4¢ vs 14.4%), Péter Magyar for TIME Person of the Year (3¢ vs 9.8%), and Inter to win the Champions League (3¢ vs 8.0%). The seventh is a maverick call: DeepSeek prices Cristopher Sanchez for NL Cy Young at 24.7% against 8 cents. The board was updated August 10, 2026, with model runs from August 5-9, 2026. The article explains that a price in cents implies a probability, noting a 4-cent contract implies about a 4% chance and pays about 25x, while an 11-cent contract implies 11% and pays about 9x. It states that longshots mostly lose, and if the panel's blends are exactly right, the expected outcome